Dec 15th
Monday Mortgage Update
Categories: Real Estate News
“What happens in Washington doesn’t stay in Washington.” And that was especially true last week, as the effect of Congress’ actions regarding the U.S. automakers rippled out into the markets.
Bonds and home loan rates spent last week testing their previous best levels of 2008, and finally rallied on Friday to reach their best levels not just of 2008 but of the last five years. Stocks, meanwhile, were under pressure throughout the week waiting to see whether Congress would approve emergency loans for GM and Chrysler. While the House of Representatives approved the measure Wednesday evening, the Senate rejected the $14 billion bailout for the US automakers on Thursday evening, citing a lack of wage concessions by the United Auto Workers (UAW). Friday, the White House announced that the government may be willing to use Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP) funds to prevent an immediate collapse of the auto industry. One thing we can be sure of in this matter is that the volatility for both Stocks and Bonds will continue while this issue remains unresolved.
There were other important happenings in Washington to note last week. Five members of the House Financial Services Committee are sponsoring a bill that would force the SEC to reinstate the uptick rule. The uptick rule is a former rule established by the SEC that requires every short sale transaction to be entered at a price that is higher than the price of the previous trade. So what would the reinstatement of the uptick rule mean for Bonds and home loan rates? The reinstatement of the uptick rule would do a lot to quiet the excessive volatility in both Stocks and Bonds.
In other important news to note last week, the Retail Sales report for November showed that retail sales fell for a fifth straight month. Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims reached their highest level in 26 years. Both of these reports are indicative of the current economic climate, and given the events of the week in Washington, they had minimal impact on Bonds and home loan rates.
As mentioned above, Bonds and home loan rates rallied Friday afternoon to reach their best levels of the
year. As a result, they ended the week .25 percent better than where they began.
Tuesday will be a big day this week as more news from Washington may rock the markets. First, the Fed will be holding another regularly scheduled meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Look for the Fed to cut the Fed Funds rate (the rate for overnight loans between banks) by a half point, to 0.50 percent. While a cut by the Fed often causes home loan rates to rise (because a Fed cut can lead to inflation, which is the arch enemy of Bonds and home loan rates), the deflationary environment we are currently in may prevent home loan rates from worsening.
Another event to note on Tuesday is the release of November’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report. This widely watched inflation indicator tells us how much more expensive goods and services are this month over last month, and with recent concerns on deflation - this will be an important report to watch.
As you can see in the chart, Bonds and home loan rates ended the week at their best levels of this year and in over five years. Let me know if you want some more information about how you can take advantage of the current situation.
Patrick Dunn, Westwood Mortgage Inc. & MMG Weekly
patrick@westwoodmortgage.com / http://www.certifiedplanning.com












We will likely see another volatile day on Friday this week, with the delivery of two high impact reports with the potential to shake things up. Both set for release at 8:30am ET, we will see the wholesale inflation measuring Producer Price Index, as well as the Retail Sales Report. It will be important to see if the recent drop in oil prices has made an impact on either the cost to manufacture (PPI) or if it has invigorated retail purchases due to the savings in the cost to fuel vehicles.